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Experimental Epidemiological Prediction Model
Intervention 1B: No extension of lockdown With continued testing at same rate
** All maps are on different colorscale. Inferences should be made using the data provided in the image legend
Simulated weekly new incidents
Week
System Dynamics Model
Statistical Model
X-SEAIPR Model
Last updated
15 April - 21 April
12
th
April 2020
22 April - 28 April
12
th
April 2020
29 April - 5 May
12
th
April 2020
6 May - 12 May
12
th
April 2020
13 May - 19 May
12
th
April 2020
20 May - 26 May
12
th
April 2020
27 May - 2 June
12
th
April 2020
3 June - 9 June
12
th
April 2020
10 June - 16 June
12
th
April 2020
17 June - 23 June
12
th
April 2020
24 June- 30 June
12
th
April 2020
Summary
Impacts
Total increase in incidence during April to June wrt the count on April 14th
Total increase in mortality during April to June wrt the count on April 14th
Time when daily incidence will reach peak
Time when daily mortality will reach peak
Total Recovery during April to June
Last updated
System Dynamics Model
204803430
3068928
30th June
30th June
79550695
12
th
April 2020
Statistical Model
173585624
1672064
3rd June
30th June
NA
12
th
April 2020
X-SEAIPR Model
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