Experimental Epidemiological Prediction Model
Intervention 4B: Extend lockdown till April 30 and during May 1-15 reduce contacts to 50% With same rate of testing
** All maps are on different colorscale. Inferences should be made using the data provided in the image legend
| Week | System Dynamics Model | Statistical Model | X-SEAIPR Model | Last updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 April - 21 April |  |
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12th April 2020 |
| 22 April - 28 April |  |
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12th April 2020 |
| 29 April - 5 May |  |
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12th April 2020 |
| 6 May - 12 May |  |
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12th April 2020 |
| 13 May - 19 May |  |
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12th April 2020 |
| 20 May - 26 May |  |
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12th April 2020 |
| 27 May - 2 June |  |
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12th April 2020 |
| 3 June - 9 June |  |
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12th April 2020 |
| 10 June - 16 June |  |
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12th April 2020 |
| 17 June - 23 June |  |
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12th April 2020 |
| 24 June- 30 June |  |
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12th April 2020 |
| Impacts | Total increase in incidence during April to June wrt the count on April 14th | Total increase in mortality during April to June wrt the count on April 14th | Time when daily incidence will reach peak | Time when daily mortality will reach peak | Total Recovery during April to June | Last updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| System Dynamics Model | 23846098 | 71899.9 | 30th June | 30th June | 5643099 | 12th April 2020 |
| Statistical Model | 152166914 | 1348617 | 3rd June | 30th June | NA | 12th April 2020 |
| X-SEAIPR Model | 132857064 | 15590 | 25th April | 25th April | 17344346 | 12th April 2020 |
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