Trip Distribution

Introduction

Trip Distribution is the second step in the Sequential Demand Modelling arrangement (FSTP). Its purpose is to analyse and synthesis tip linkages between traffic zones concerned with the estimation of target year trip volume. Underlying principle of trip Distribution can be explained as follows: the zones that are attracting trip are in competition with each other thus depending on the attractiveness of the zones and the intervening factors affecting the choice of the zone will be considered. For example two zones having shopping malls, the trips from trip producing zone will be more attracted to the shopping mall which much closer, thus the attractiveness in this case is determined by the distance factor between the production zone and attraction zone. Other factors that are generally taken into consideration are out of pocket cost, generalised coast, travel time etc.

Trip Distribution is illustrated better in the form of a matrix. There are two types of Matrix:

Example of PA Matrix
 Attraction Zones (j)sum
Production Zones (i)Zone1...n 
1t11t1jt1nΣt1j
..ti1tijtinΣtij
ntn1tnjtnnΣtnj
Sum Σti1ΣtijΣtinTotal

The cell value in the above table represents trip interchanges between zone I and Zone J, thus it has not directional meaning. Generally the trip production zones are equal to trip attraction zones and the total number of Trips Produced will be equal to total number of Trips Attracted.


Example of OD Matrix
 Destination (j)sum
Origin (i)Zone1...n 
1t11t1jt1nO1
..ti1tijtinOi
ntn1tnjtnnOn
Sum D1DjDnT

The rows and columns represent Origin and Destination zones thus the OD Matrix will be useful for directional traffic assignment.

The PA matrix can be converted into OD Matrix with the help of formula with a given the value of λ. the value of λ depends on various characteristics, default value is taken as 0.5. General formula for conversion is given below:
$$t_{ij}\ =\ \lambda t_{ij}\ + \ (1-\lambda ) t_{ij}$$

Example for conversion of PA to OD Matrix using λ = 0.5 is given below
P/A123
1153025
2101015
3354515
O/D123
1152030
2201030
3303010
Trip Distribution Experiments

Growth Factor Distribution Model

Singly constrained Gravity Model

Doubly constrained Gravity Model

Calibration of Singly Constrained Gravity Model

Calibration of Doubly Constrained Gravity Model